The Energy Report 01/22/20

Coronavirus Blues

Oil prices got hit with a  case of the coronavirus blues but may get a boost from the promise made to Maria Bartiromo of a middle-class tax cut.

The trade is trying to gauge the potential for oil demand destruction if fears about the spread of the virus increase. Fox News reported, “At least one person in the United States is infected with the mysterious pneumonia-like virus that’s killed at least six people and sickened some 300 others since the illness was first reported in the Chinese city of Wuhan. Oil traders have good reason to worry because after the sars virus, we saw a significant drop in oil demand. People did not fly and stayed home fearing the infectious disease. Of course, that was then and this is now. Already China, unlike in 2003, is sharing information giving hope that the world health organizations can stay ahead of the spread of the virus.

Oil prices dipped after reports of a U.S. case of the disease, yet are now coming back after President Trump said that things surrounding the illness are under control. The FT wrote that, “Hong Kong officials said mainland authorities had found no “definitive” evidence of human-to-human transmission of the virus but could not rule it out”. That statement came a day after the World Health Organization said: “Preliminary investigations conducted by the authorities have found no clear evidence of human-to-human transmission of the novel coronavirus identified in Wuhan. There has been no evidence [even] of limited human-to-human transmission.” This makes the Wuhan outbreak different so far from the 2003 sars epidemic, which spread from patients to medical staff and eventually killed more than 800 people, mostly in China.according to the FT.

Crude oil traders love tax cuts. President Trump told Fox Business network’s Maria Bartiromo on “Mornings with Maria” that a tax cut is coming. President Donald Trump said that a tax cut for the middle class is going to be announced over the next 90 days. “We are going to be doing a middle-class tax cut, a very big one,” Trump told Fox Business.”

Reuters reported that Trump told Maria that he was thinking of imposing 25% tariffs on cars from the European Union, if a deal was not struck. “Ultimately, it will be very easy because if we can’t make a deal, we’ll have to put 25 percent tariffs on their cars,” Trump told Fox Business’ Maria Bartiromo at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

Oil traders also get the holiday delayed American Petroleum Institute report. The focus will be on products that have seen incredible increases in supply.

Natural gas plummeted. Winter is over as far as natural gas is concerned.

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HOT COMMODITY PODCAST!

In case you missed it! Phil’s guest appearance on the McKeany-Flavell Hot Commodity Podcast last Friday, September 20th talking about current energy market dynamics. LISTEN HERE!

Do you have the right strategy for this market? Are you trading more and making less? Call so I can help you analyze and adjust your strategy. You can also get geared up for my daily trade levels as well as exclusive alerts. Call me at 888-264-5665 or email me at pflynn@pricegroup.com.

Phil Flynn

The PRICE Futures Group

Senior Market Analyst & Author of The Energy Report

Contributor to FOX Business Network

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